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PREDICTIONWINS
Market Category

Politics Prediction Markets

Elections, legislation, and geopolitics. Browse live markets, see best platforms, and read related guides.

Which prediction market categories can you trade?

US traders can trade five main categories: politics (elections and legislation), economy (Fed rates, inflation, GDP), crypto, climate, and sports. Politics and sports carry the deepest liquidity; Kalshi covers all five in USD, while Polymarket is strongest on crypto and politics.

84
Tracked markets
$49B+
Jul 2026 exchange volume
3
Platforms

Best platforms for politics

Example markets

Illustrative examples of contract types in this category. Prices and volumes are not live — open Kalshi or Polymarket for current quotes.

Kalshi
Will Democrats win the US Senate in 2026 midterms?
YES 44¢NO 56¢
$48.2M
Kalshi
Will Republicans hold the House after 2026 midterms?
YES 61¢NO 39¢
$31.8M
Polymarket
Presidential approval rating above 45% in May 2026?
YES 38¢NO 62¢
$12.1M
Polymarket
Will the US impose new tariffs on EU goods before July 2026?
YES 29¢NO 71¢
$9.4M
Polymarket
NATO membership expansion to include Ukraine before 2027?
YES 15¢NO 85¢
$7.8M