About PredictionWins
We're an independent editorial publication covering prediction market platforms. Our mission: help traders find trustworthy, regulated platforms — with full transparency about how we work and what we earn.
Affiliate Disclosure
PredictionWins participates in affiliate programs with prediction market platforms. When you click a link on our site and open an account, we may earn a referral commission. This is how we fund our editorial team and keep the site free for readers.
This commission does not influence our editorial content. Our scoring methodology is defined independently of affiliate relationships. We've declined partnerships with platforms we consider low quality or misleading.
All affiliate links are marked with rel="nofollow sponsored" in accordance with Google guidelines and FTC disclosure requirements.
Our review methodology
- 1Real account creation
A reviewer opens an account with personal information and goes through full KYC. We don't accept demo accounts or PR walkthroughs.
- 2Real money deposit
We deposit a minimum of $100 (or equivalent) in real money on every platform. The only way to test fees, deposit speeds, and real liquidity.
- 3Live trading
We execute at least 5 trades across different market types, holding positions for varying durations. Limit and market orders where available.
- 4Withdrawal test
We complete a withdrawal to verify processing times and fees match stated terms. Discrepancies are flagged in the review.
- 5Scoring & peer review
Scores are assigned by the lead reviewer, then reviewed by a second team member before publication. Locked to the methodology below.
Scoring criteria
| Dimension | Weight | What we measure |
|---|---|---|
| Regulation & Safety | 20% | License type, fund segregation, consumer protection. |
| Market Selection | 20% | Breadth of categories, number of active markets, long-tail depth. |
| Liquidity | 20% | Bid-ask spreads, market depth, ease of exit. |
| Fees | 20% | Trading fee, deposit/withdrawal costs, hidden fees. |
| User Experience | 10% | Onboarding, interface clarity, customer support quality. |
| Mobile App | 10% | iOS/Android quality, notification reliability, mobile trading flow. |
Editorial Independence
Our editorial team operates independently of our commercial team. Platforms cannot pay for positive coverage, higher scores, or preferential ranking. We've removed platforms from affiliate programs when their quality declined.
Platform representatives may provide factual corrections to published reviews. We welcome and appreciate this. However, editorial decisions — including scores and rankings — are made entirely by our reviewers.
Our team
Former financial journalist with 8 years covering derivatives. Trading prediction markets since 2019; has tested every major platform with real money.
Quantitative researcher and forecaster. Published research on prediction market accuracy at the University of Chicago.
Economics journalist specializing in monetary policy and macro. Covers economy and central bank prediction markets daily.