Crypto Prediction Markets
BTC price targets, ETF flows, protocol upgrades — the natural home category for Polymarket.
Where can you trade crypto prediction markets?
BTC price targets, ETF flows, protocol upgrades — the natural home category for Polymarket. US traders can access these markets on Kalshi (CFTC-regulated, real USD, 47 states + DC) or Polymarket (US app, iOS only). The example contracts below are illustrative of what trades in this category — check the exchange for live prices.
Why crypto markets matter
Polymarket's crypto markets benefit from on-chain data the crowd often overlooks. Kalshi has begun listing Bitcoin price-level contracts after 2025 CFTC clarification.
Best platforms for crypto
Polymarket
CFTC-licensed, highest liquidity, $50 bonus
One of the world's two largest prediction markets by volume. CFTC-licensed and available to US traders via its iPhone app (iOS only — no desktop trading), with billions in liquidity, near-zero fees, and thousands of markets across politics, sports, crypto, and culture. Deposit $10 and get a $50 trading bonus with code WINPREDICTS.
Kalshi
CFTC-regulated, US-focused
The only CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange in the US. Real USD deposits, no minimum balance, markets across politics, economics, sports, and weather. Trade $25 and get $25 with code WINPREDITCS.
Example markets
Illustrative examples of contract types in this category. Prices and volumes are not live — open Kalshi or Polymarket for current quotes.
Related guides
What Are Prediction Markets? A Complete Beginner's Guide
Prediction markets let you trade on the outcome of real-world events. Here's how they work, why they're surprisingly accurate, and how to start.
IntermediateHow to Actually Make Money on Prediction Markets
Edge, bankroll, process. The unglamorous habits that separate winning traders from gamblers.
Latest in crypto
Kalshi accounted for roughly 80% of tracked US prediction market volume in August 2026 versus about 18% for Polymarket (DeFi Rate), while a legal battle between federal regulators and individual states continues over how these platforms are classified.