Sports
How to read a market after big news: the 2026 NLCS as a worked example
Why prediction market prices jump after news, using the Brewers' 2026 NLCS sweep of the Dodgers as a worked example, plus spread, liquidity and what to check.
Sports Prediction Markets
NFL, NBA, soccer, UFC — 90%+ of Kalshi's monthly volume now comes from sports.
Where can you trade sports prediction markets?
NFL, NBA, soccer, UFC — 90%+ of Kalshi's monthly volume now comes from sports. US traders can access these markets on Kalshi (CFTC-regulated, real USD, 47 states + DC) or Polymarket (CFTC-regulated US app, 49 states + DC). The example contracts below are illustrative of what trades in this category — check the exchange for live prices.
TL;DR:
NFL, NBA, soccer, UFC — 90%+ of Kalshi's monthly volume now comes from sports.
Why sports markets matter
After CFTC clarification in late 2025, Kalshi launched binary sports markets, and they are now among its deepest books. For dedicated vertical coverage, see live soccer markets across venues (opens in a new tab) and the 2026 World Cup contract guide (opens in a new tab).
Best platforms for sports
Example markets
Illustrative examples of contract types in this category. Prices and volumes are not live — open Kalshi or Polymarket for current quotes.
Kalshi
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl LXI?
YES 18¢ NO 82¢
$42.7M
Kalshi
Lakers make 2026 NBA Finals?
YES 22¢ NO 78¢
$18.3M
Polymarket
Manchester City wins Premier League 2025/26?
YES 41¢ NO 59¢
$11.6M
Related guides
Sports
How to Trade on ProphetX: Sign-Up, Deposits, Fees and the $75 Offer
A step-by-step ProphetX walkthrough: who can sign up, the identity check, deposit methods and limits, placing a first sports trade, fees, withdrawals and how the three $25 installments really unlock.